Corporativo Fragua (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 671.30
| FRAGUAB Stock | MXN 699.00 14.00 2.04% |
Corporativo |
Corporativo Fragua Target Price Odds to finish over 671.30
The tendency of Corporativo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 671.30 in 90 days |
| 699.00 | 90 days | 671.30 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporativo Fragua to stay above 671.30 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Corporativo Fragua SAB probability density function shows the probability of Corporativo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporativo Fragua SAB price to stay between 671.30 and its current price of 699.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporativo Fragua SAB has a beta of -0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Corporativo Fragua are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Corporativo Fragua SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Corporativo Fragua SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Corporativo Fragua Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Corporativo Fragua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporativo Fragua SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corporativo Fragua's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Corporativo Fragua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporativo Fragua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporativo Fragua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporativo Fragua SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporativo Fragua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 78.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Corporativo Fragua Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporativo Fragua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporativo Fragua SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Corporativo Fragua generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Corporativo Fragua Technical Analysis
Corporativo Fragua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporativo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporativo Fragua SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporativo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Corporativo Fragua Predictive Forecast Models
Corporativo Fragua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporativo Fragua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporativo Fragua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Corporativo Fragua SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporativo Fragua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporativo Fragua SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Corporativo Fragua generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Corporativo Stock
Corporativo Fragua financial ratios help investors to determine whether Corporativo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Corporativo with respect to the benefits of owning Corporativo Fragua security.