Aggressive Growth Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.58
| FRAGX Fund | USD 11.55 0.05 0.43% |
Aggressive |
Aggressive Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 11.58
The tendency of Aggressive Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.58 after 90 days |
| 11.55 | 90 days | 11.58 | about 86.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aggressive Growth to stay under $ 11.58 after 90 days from now is about 86.31 (This Aggressive Growth Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Aggressive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aggressive Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 11.55 and $ 11.58 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aggressive Growth Allocation has a beta of -0.03. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aggressive Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aggressive Growth Allocation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aggressive Growth Allocation has an alpha of 0.0422, implying that it can generate a 0.0422 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aggressive Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aggressive Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aggressive Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aggressive Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aggressive Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aggressive Growth Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aggressive Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Aggressive Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aggressive Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aggressive Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Aggressive Growth Technical Analysis
Aggressive Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aggressive Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aggressive Growth Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aggressive Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aggressive Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Aggressive Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aggressive Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aggressive Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aggressive Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aggressive Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aggressive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund
Aggressive Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Growth security.
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