Franklin Orado Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.59

FRCOX Fund  USD 10.66  0.02  0.19%   
Franklin Colorado's future price is the expected price of Franklin Colorado instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Orado Tax Free performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Colorado Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Colorado Correlation, Franklin Colorado Hype Analysis, Franklin Colorado Volatility, Franklin Colorado History as well as Franklin Colorado Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Colorado's target price for which you would like Franklin Colorado odds to be computed.

Franklin Colorado Target Price Odds to finish over 10.59

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.59  in 90 days
 10.66 90 days 10.59 
about 57.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Colorado to stay above $ 10.59  in 90 days from now is about 57.36 (This Franklin Orado Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Orado Tax price to stay between $ 10.59  and its current price of $10.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Colorado has a beta of 0.0385. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Colorado average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Orado Tax Free will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Orado Tax Free has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin Colorado Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Colorado

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Orado Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4310.6610.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4110.6410.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4110.6410.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5510.6010.65
Details

Franklin Colorado Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Colorado is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Colorado's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Orado Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Colorado within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0029
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.52

Franklin Colorado Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Colorado for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Orado Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Orado Tax retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Franklin Colorado Technical Analysis

Franklin Colorado's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Orado Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Colorado Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Colorado's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Colorado's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Colorado's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Orado Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Colorado for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Orado Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Orado Tax retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Colorado financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Colorado security.
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