Freetrailer Group (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.61
| FREETR Stock | 78.40 7.60 8.84% |
Freetrailer |
Freetrailer Group Target Price Odds to finish below 48.61
The tendency of Freetrailer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 48.61 or more in 90 days |
| 78.40 | 90 days | 48.61 | about 6.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Freetrailer Group to drop to 48.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.82 (This Freetrailer Group AS probability density function shows the probability of Freetrailer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Freetrailer Group price to stay between 48.61 and its current price of 78.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Freetrailer Group AS has a beta of -0.77. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Freetrailer Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Freetrailer Group AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Freetrailer Group AS has an alpha of 0.7751, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Freetrailer Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Freetrailer Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freetrailer Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freetrailer Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freetrailer Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Freetrailer Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Freetrailer Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Freetrailer Group AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Freetrailer Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Freetrailer Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Freetrailer Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Freetrailer Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Freetrailer Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Freetrailer Group Technical Analysis
Freetrailer Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Freetrailer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Freetrailer Group AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Freetrailer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Freetrailer Group Predictive Forecast Models
Freetrailer Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Freetrailer Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Freetrailer Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Freetrailer Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Freetrailer Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Freetrailer Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Freetrailer Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |