Fremont Gold Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 35.14

FRERF Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  12.97%   
Fremont Gold's future price is the expected price of Fremont Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fremont Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fremont Gold Backtesting, Fremont Gold Valuation, Fremont Gold Correlation, Fremont Gold Hype Analysis, Fremont Gold Volatility, Fremont Gold History as well as Fremont Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Fremont Gold's target price for which you would like Fremont Gold odds to be computed.

Fremont Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 35.14

The tendency of Fremont OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 35.14  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 35.14 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fremont Gold to move over $ 35.14  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fremont Gold probability density function shows the probability of Fremont OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fremont Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 0.08  and $ 35.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fremont Gold has a beta of -2.34. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Fremont Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Fremont Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Fremont Gold has an alpha of 0.6326, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fremont Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fremont Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fremont Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0811.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0811.76
Details

Fremont Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fremont Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fremont Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fremont Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fremont Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Fremont Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fremont Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fremont Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fremont Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fremont Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fremont Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (734.68 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (65.55 K).
Fremont Gold has accumulated about 634.5 K in cash with (396.82 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fremont Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fremont OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fremont Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fremont Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.6 M

Fremont Gold Technical Analysis

Fremont Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fremont OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fremont Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fremont OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fremont Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Fremont Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fremont Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fremont Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fremont Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fremont Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fremont Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fremont Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fremont Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fremont Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (734.68 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (65.55 K).
Fremont Gold has accumulated about 634.5 K in cash with (396.82 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fremont OTC Stock

Fremont Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fremont OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fremont with respect to the benefits of owning Fremont Gold security.