Fresh2 Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.7375
| FRES Stock | 1.39 0.08 6.11% |
Fresh2 |
Fresh2 Target Price Odds to finish over 1.7375
The tendency of Fresh2 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.74 or more in 90 days |
| 1.39 | 90 days | 1.74 | about 21.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fresh2 to move over 1.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.6 (This Fresh2 Group probability density function shows the probability of Fresh2 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fresh2 Group price to stay between its current price of 1.39 and 1.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fresh2 has a beta of 0.0782. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fresh2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fresh2 Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fresh2 Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fresh2 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fresh2
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fresh2 Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fresh2's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fresh2 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fresh2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fresh2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fresh2 Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fresh2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Fresh2 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fresh2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fresh2 Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fresh2 Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fresh2 Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fresh2 Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fresh2 Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fresh2 generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Fresh2 Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 471695 shares by Xiaoyu Li of Fresh2 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fresh2 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fresh2 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fresh2's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fresh2's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 191.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269 K |
Fresh2 Technical Analysis
Fresh2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fresh2 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fresh2 Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fresh2 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fresh2 Predictive Forecast Models
Fresh2's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fresh2's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fresh2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fresh2 Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fresh2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fresh2 Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fresh2 Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fresh2 Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fresh2 Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fresh2 Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fresh2 generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Fresh2 Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 471695 shares by Xiaoyu Li of Fresh2 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Fresh2 Stock Analysis
When running Fresh2's price analysis, check to measure Fresh2's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh2 is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh2's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh2's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh2's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh2 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.