Metalfrio Solutions (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 153.25
| FRIO3 Stock | BRL 157.99 2.01 1.26% |
Metalfrio |
Metalfrio Solutions Target Price Odds to finish over 153.25
The tendency of Metalfrio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 153.25 in 90 days |
| 157.99 | 90 days | 153.25 | about 25.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metalfrio Solutions to stay above R$ 153.25 in 90 days from now is about 25.1 (This Metalfrio Solutions SA probability density function shows the probability of Metalfrio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metalfrio Solutions price to stay between R$ 153.25 and its current price of R$157.99 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metalfrio Solutions has a beta of 0.0121. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Metalfrio Solutions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Metalfrio Solutions SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Metalfrio Solutions SA has an alpha of 0.3483, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Metalfrio Solutions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metalfrio Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalfrio Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Metalfrio Solutions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metalfrio Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metalfrio Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metalfrio Solutions SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metalfrio Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Metalfrio Solutions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metalfrio Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metalfrio Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metalfrio Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Metalfrio Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 350.88 M. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Metalfrio Solutions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metalfrio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metalfrio Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metalfrio Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 396.8 M |
Metalfrio Solutions Technical Analysis
Metalfrio Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metalfrio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metalfrio Solutions SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metalfrio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metalfrio Solutions Predictive Forecast Models
Metalfrio Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Metalfrio Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metalfrio Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metalfrio Solutions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metalfrio Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metalfrio Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metalfrio Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Metalfrio Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 350.88 M. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Metalfrio Stock Analysis
When running Metalfrio Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Metalfrio Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metalfrio Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Metalfrio Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metalfrio Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metalfrio Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metalfrio Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.