Frasers Logistics Commercial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.11

FRLOF Stock  USD 0.70  0.05  6.67%   
Frasers Logistics' future price is the expected price of Frasers Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frasers Logistics Commercial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frasers Logistics Backtesting, Frasers Logistics Valuation, Frasers Logistics Correlation, Frasers Logistics Hype Analysis, Frasers Logistics Volatility, Frasers Logistics History as well as Frasers Logistics Performance.
  
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Frasers Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 3.11

The tendency of Frasers Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 3.11  or more in 90 days
 0.70 90 days 3.11 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frasers Logistics to move over $ 3.11  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Frasers Logistics Commercial probability density function shows the probability of Frasers Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frasers Logistics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.70  and $ 3.11  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Frasers Logistics Commercial has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Frasers Logistics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Frasers Logistics Commercial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Frasers Logistics Commercial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Frasers Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frasers Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frasers Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.703.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.623.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.693.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.670.710.76
Details

Frasers Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frasers Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frasers Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frasers Logistics Commercial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frasers Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Frasers Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frasers Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frasers Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frasers Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frasers Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Frasers Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frasers Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frasers Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frasers Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B

Frasers Logistics Technical Analysis

Frasers Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frasers Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frasers Logistics Commercial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frasers Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frasers Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Frasers Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frasers Logistics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frasers Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frasers Logistics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frasers Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frasers Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frasers Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frasers Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Frasers Pink Sheet

Frasers Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frasers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frasers with respect to the benefits of owning Frasers Logistics security.