Frontline Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.09
| FRO Stock | USD 16.17 0.92 5.38% |
Closest to current price Frontline long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Frontline |
Frontline Target Price Odds to finish over 17.09
The tendency of Frontline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.09 or more in 90 days |
| 16.17 | 90 days | 17.09 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontline to move over $ 17.09 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Frontline probability density function shows the probability of Frontline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontline price to stay between its current price of $ 16.17 and $ 17.09 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Frontline has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frontline average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frontline will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frontline has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Frontline Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Frontline
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontline. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frontline Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontline, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Frontline Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontline can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Frontline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Frontline has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Frontline is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Frontline has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from forbes.com: What Frontline Workers Want The MostAnd How To Give It To Them |
Frontline Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frontline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frontline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 222.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 315.8 M |
Frontline Technical Analysis
Frontline's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontline. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Frontline Predictive Forecast Models
Frontline's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontline's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontline's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Frontline
Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontline help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Frontline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Frontline has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Frontline is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Frontline has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from forbes.com: What Frontline Workers Want The MostAnd How To Give It To Them |
Check out Frontline Backtesting, Frontline Valuation, Frontline Correlation, Frontline Hype Analysis, Frontline Volatility, Frontline History as well as Frontline Performance. To learn how to invest in Frontline Stock, please use our How to Invest in Frontline guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frontline. If investors know Frontline will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frontline listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share 2.46 | Revenue Per Share 8.654 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 | Return On Assets 0.0746 |
The market value of Frontline is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frontline that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frontline's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frontline's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frontline's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frontline's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frontline's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frontline is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frontline's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.