4imprint Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 64.29

FRRFF Stock  USD 64.47  0.00  0.00%   
4imprint Group's future price is the expected price of 4imprint Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 4imprint Group plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 4imprint Group Backtesting, 4imprint Group Valuation, 4imprint Group Correlation, 4imprint Group Hype Analysis, 4imprint Group Volatility, 4imprint Group History as well as 4imprint Group Performance.
  
Please specify 4imprint Group's target price for which you would like 4imprint Group odds to be computed.

4imprint Group Target Price Odds to finish below 64.29

The tendency of 4imprint Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 64.29  or more in 90 days
 64.47 90 days 64.29 
about 15.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 4imprint Group to drop to $ 64.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.4 (This 4imprint Group plc probability density function shows the probability of 4imprint Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 4imprint Group plc price to stay between $ 64.29  and its current price of $64.47 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 4imprint Group has a beta of 0.0552. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, 4imprint Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 4imprint Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 4imprint Group plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   4imprint Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 4imprint Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4imprint Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.4064.4765.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.8052.8770.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.7063.7764.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.0465.4166.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 4imprint Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 4imprint Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 4imprint Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 4imprint Group plc.

4imprint Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 4imprint Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 4imprint Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 4imprint Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 4imprint Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

4imprint Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 4imprint Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 4imprint Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
4imprint Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

4imprint Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 4imprint Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 4imprint Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 4imprint Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.1 M

4imprint Group Technical Analysis

4imprint Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4imprint Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 4imprint Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4imprint Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

4imprint Group Predictive Forecast Models

4imprint Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many 4imprint Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 4imprint Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 4imprint Group plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about 4imprint Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 4imprint Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
4imprint Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in 4imprint Pink Sheet

4imprint Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether 4imprint Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 4imprint with respect to the benefits of owning 4imprint Group security.