FPT Digital (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 176,899

FRT Stock   176,900  3,300  1.90%   
FPT Digital's future price is the expected price of FPT Digital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FPT Digital Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FPT Digital Backtesting, FPT Digital Valuation, FPT Digital Correlation, FPT Digital Hype Analysis, FPT Digital Volatility, FPT Digital History as well as FPT Digital Performance.
  
Please specify FPT Digital's target price for which you would like FPT Digital odds to be computed.

FPT Digital Target Price Odds to finish below 176,899

The tendency of FPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 176,900 90 days 176,900 
about 62.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FPT Digital to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 62.65 (This FPT Digital Retail probability density function shows the probability of FPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FPT Digital has a beta of 0.0483. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FPT Digital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FPT Digital Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FPT Digital Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FPT Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FPT Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FPT Digital Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
176,899176,900176,901
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
174,824174,825194,590
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
180,882180,882180,883
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
163,560170,058176,557
Details

FPT Digital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FPT Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FPT Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FPT Digital Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FPT Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
4,983
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

FPT Digital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FPT Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FPT Digital Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FPT Digital Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FPT Digital Technical Analysis

FPT Digital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FPT Digital Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing FPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FPT Digital Predictive Forecast Models

FPT Digital's time-series forecasting models is one of many FPT Digital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FPT Digital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FPT Digital Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about FPT Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FPT Digital Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FPT Digital Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FPT Stock

FPT Digital financial ratios help investors to determine whether FPT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FPT with respect to the benefits of owning FPT Digital security.