Fs Energy And Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.5

FSEN Stock  USD 2.50  0.70  38.89%   
FS Energy's future price is the expected price of FS Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FS Energy and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FS Energy Backtesting, FS Energy Valuation, FS Energy Correlation, FS Energy Hype Analysis, FS Energy Volatility, FS Energy History as well as FS Energy Performance.
  
Please specify FS Energy's target price for which you would like FS Energy odds to be computed.

FS Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 2.5

The tendency of FSEN Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.50 90 days 2.50 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FS Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This FS Energy and probability density function shows the probability of FSEN Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FS Energy has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FS Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FS Energy and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FS Energy and has an alpha of 0.2383, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FS Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FS Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FS Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.509.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.338.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.248.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.192.472.75
Details

FS Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FS Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FS Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FS Energy and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FS Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

FS Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FS Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FS Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FS Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

FS Energy Technical Analysis

FS Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FSEN Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FS Energy and. In general, you should focus on analyzing FSEN Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FS Energy Predictive Forecast Models

FS Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many FS Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FS Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FS Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about FS Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FS Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FS Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FSEN Pink Sheet

FS Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether FSEN Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FSEN with respect to the benefits of owning FS Energy security.