Fastly Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.14

FSLY Stock  USD 8.48  0.56  7.07%   
Fastly's future price is the expected price of Fastly instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fastly Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fastly Backtesting, Fastly Valuation, Fastly Correlation, Fastly Hype Analysis, Fastly Volatility, Fastly History as well as Fastly Performance.
  
At this time, Fastly's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 6,648 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 4.30 in 2024. Please specify Fastly's target price for which you would like Fastly odds to be computed.

Fastly Target Price Odds to finish below 8.14

The tendency of Fastly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.14  or more in 90 days
 8.48 90 days 8.14 
over 95.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fastly to drop to $ 8.14  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.13 (This Fastly Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fastly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fastly Inc price to stay between $ 8.14  and its current price of $8.48 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.29 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fastly will likely underperform. Additionally Fastly Inc has an alpha of 0.2289, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fastly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fastly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fastly Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.727.6611.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.6210.5614.50
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.3419.0621.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.03-0.03-0.02
Details

Fastly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fastly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fastly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fastly Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fastly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Fastly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fastly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fastly Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fastly Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 505.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 209.78 M.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fastly Just Overtook the 50-Day Moving Average

Fastly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fastly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fastly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments322.7 M

Fastly Technical Analysis

Fastly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fastly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fastly Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fastly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fastly Predictive Forecast Models

Fastly's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fastly's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fastly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fastly Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fastly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fastly Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fastly Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 505.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 209.78 M.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fastly Just Overtook the 50-Day Moving Average

Additional Tools for Fastly Stock Analysis

When running Fastly's price analysis, check to measure Fastly's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastly is operating at the current time. Most of Fastly's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastly's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastly's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastly to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.