Retailing Portfolio Retailing Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 21.03

FSRPX Fund  USD 21.93  0.12  0.55%   
Retailing Portfolio's future price is the expected price of Retailing Portfolio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Retailing Portfolio Retailing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Retailing Portfolio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Retailing Portfolio Correlation, Retailing Portfolio Hype Analysis, Retailing Portfolio Volatility, Retailing Portfolio History as well as Retailing Portfolio Performance.
  
Please specify Retailing Portfolio's target price for which you would like Retailing Portfolio odds to be computed.

Retailing Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish below 21.03

The tendency of Retailing Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.03  or more in 90 days
 21.93 90 days 21.03 
about 81.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retailing Portfolio to drop to $ 21.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 81.05 (This Retailing Portfolio Retailing probability density function shows the probability of Retailing Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Retailing Portfolio price to stay between $ 21.03  and its current price of $21.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Retailing Portfolio has a beta of 0.71. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Retailing Portfolio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Retailing Portfolio Retailing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Retailing Portfolio Retailing has an alpha of 0.0774, implying that it can generate a 0.0774 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Retailing Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Retailing Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retailing Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1021.9322.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5822.4123.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2222.0522.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3621.2922.22
Details

Retailing Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retailing Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retailing Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retailing Portfolio Retailing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retailing Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Retailing Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retailing Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retailing Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Retailing Portfolio Technical Analysis

Retailing Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retailing Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retailing Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Retailing Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models

Retailing Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Retailing Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retailing Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Retailing Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Retailing Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retailing Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Retailing Mutual Fund

Retailing Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retailing Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retailing with respect to the benefits of owning Retailing Portfolio security.
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