Firstsun Capital Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 36.39
| FSUN Stock | USD 38.52 0.18 0.47% |
FirstSun |
FirstSun Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 36.39
The tendency of FirstSun OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 36.39 or more in 90 days |
| 38.52 | 90 days | 36.39 | about 7.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FirstSun Capital to drop to $ 36.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.95 (This FirstSun Capital Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of FirstSun OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FirstSun Capital Bancorp price to stay between $ 36.39 and its current price of $38.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FirstSun Capital has a beta of 0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FirstSun Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FirstSun Capital Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FirstSun Capital Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FirstSun Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FirstSun Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirstSun Capital Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FirstSun Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FirstSun Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FirstSun Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FirstSun Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FirstSun Capital Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FirstSun Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
FirstSun Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FirstSun Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FirstSun Capital Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FirstSun Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
FirstSun Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FirstSun OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FirstSun Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FirstSun Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
FirstSun Capital Technical Analysis
FirstSun Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FirstSun OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FirstSun Capital Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FirstSun OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FirstSun Capital Predictive Forecast Models
FirstSun Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many FirstSun Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FirstSun Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FirstSun Capital Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about FirstSun Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FirstSun Capital Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FirstSun Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in FirstSun OTC Stock
FirstSun Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether FirstSun OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FirstSun with respect to the benefits of owning FirstSun Capital security.