Fortress Transportation And Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.52

FTAIO Stock  USD 25.41  0.02  0.08%   
Fortress Transportation's future price is the expected price of Fortress Transportation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortress Transportation and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fortress Transportation Backtesting, Fortress Transportation Valuation, Fortress Transportation Correlation, Fortress Transportation Hype Analysis, Fortress Transportation Volatility, Fortress Transportation History as well as Fortress Transportation Performance.
  
At this time, Fortress Transportation's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 37.74, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.76. Please specify Fortress Transportation's target price for which you would like Fortress Transportation odds to be computed.

Fortress Transportation Target Price Odds to finish below 19.52

The tendency of Fortress Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 19.52  or more in 90 days
 25.41 90 days 19.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortress Transportation to drop to $ 19.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fortress Transportation and probability density function shows the probability of Fortress Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortress Transportation price to stay between $ 19.52  and its current price of $25.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortress Transportation has a beta of 0.0934. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fortress Transportation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fortress Transportation and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fortress Transportation and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fortress Transportation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortress Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortress Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9325.4125.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0925.5726.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2825.7626.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8625.6526.45
Details

Fortress Transportation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortress Transportation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortress Transportation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortress Transportation and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortress Transportation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0014
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Fortress Transportation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortress Transportation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortress Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Fortress Transportation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortress Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortress Transportation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortress Transportation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments90.8 M

Fortress Transportation Technical Analysis

Fortress Transportation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortress Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortress Transportation and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortress Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortress Transportation Predictive Forecast Models

Fortress Transportation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortress Transportation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortress Transportation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortress Transportation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortress Transportation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortress Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Fortress Stock

Fortress Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortress Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortress with respect to the benefits of owning Fortress Transportation security.