Fortress Transportation and Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.49

FTAIPDelisted Stock  USD 25.37  0.00  0.00%   
Fortress Transportation's future price is the expected price of Fortress Transportation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortress Transportation and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Please specify Fortress Transportation's target price for which you would like Fortress Transportation odds to be computed.

Fortress Transportation Target Price Odds to finish below 21.49

The tendency of Fortress Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.49  or more in 90 days
 25.37 90 days 21.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortress Transportation to drop to $ 21.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fortress Transportation and probability density function shows the probability of Fortress Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortress Transportation price to stay between $ 21.49  and its current price of $25.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortress Transportation has a beta of 0.0359. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fortress Transportation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fortress Transportation and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fortress Transportation and has an alpha of 0.0223, implying that it can generate a 0.0223 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fortress Transportation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortress Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortress Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1625.3725.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2821.4927.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2725.4825.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2525.3325.40
Details

Fortress Transportation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortress Transportation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortress Transportation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortress Transportation and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortress Transportation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Fortress Transportation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortress Transportation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortress Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortress Transportation is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fortress Transportation has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FTAI Aviation Ltd. Short Interest Update

Fortress Transportation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortress Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortress Transportation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortress Transportation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments90.9 M

Fortress Transportation Technical Analysis

Fortress Transportation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortress Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortress Transportation and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortress Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortress Transportation Predictive Forecast Models

Fortress Transportation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortress Transportation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortress Transportation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortress Transportation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortress Transportation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortress Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortress Transportation is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fortress Transportation has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FTAI Aviation Ltd. Short Interest Update
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Fortress Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fortress Transportation check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fortress Transportation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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