Arrowhead Properties (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 505.01
| FTB Stock | 486.00 7.00 1.46% |
Arrowhead |
Arrowhead Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 505.01
The tendency of Arrowhead Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 505.01 after 90 days |
| 486.00 | 90 days | 505.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrowhead Properties to stay under 505.01 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Arrowhead Properties Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Arrowhead Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arrowhead Properties price to stay between its current price of 486.00 and 505.01 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arrowhead Properties has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Arrowhead Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arrowhead Properties Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arrowhead Properties Ltd has an alpha of 0.2116, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arrowhead Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arrowhead Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrowhead Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arrowhead Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrowhead Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrowhead Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrowhead Properties Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrowhead Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Arrowhead Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrowhead Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrowhead Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrowhead Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 415.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.44 | |
| Shares Float | 1.5 B |
Arrowhead Properties Technical Analysis
Arrowhead Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arrowhead Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arrowhead Properties Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arrowhead Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arrowhead Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Arrowhead Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Arrowhead Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arrowhead Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Arrowhead Properties in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Arrowhead Properties' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Arrowhead Properties options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Arrowhead Stock
Arrowhead Properties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arrowhead Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arrowhead with respect to the benefits of owning Arrowhead Properties security.