Fa529 Tl Pt Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.09

FTBAX Fund  USD 12.73  0.03  0.24%   
Fa529 Tl's future price is the expected price of Fa529 Tl instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fa529 Tl Pt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fa529 Tl Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fa529 Tl Correlation, Fa529 Tl Hype Analysis, Fa529 Tl Volatility, Fa529 Tl History as well as Fa529 Tl Performance.
  
Please specify Fa529 Tl's target price for which you would like Fa529 Tl odds to be computed.

Fa529 Tl Target Price Odds to finish below 12.09

The tendency of Fa529 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.09  or more in 90 days
 12.73 90 days 12.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fa529 Tl to drop to $ 12.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fa529 Tl Pt probability density function shows the probability of Fa529 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fa529 Tl Pt price to stay between $ 12.09  and its current price of $12.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fa529 Tl Pt has a beta of -0.0766. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fa529 Tl are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fa529 Tl Pt is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fa529 Tl Pt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fa529 Tl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fa529 Tl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Tl Pt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4412.7313.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8112.1014.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5012.7913.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4812.6312.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa529 Tl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa529 Tl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa529 Tl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fa529 Tl Pt.

Fa529 Tl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fa529 Tl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fa529 Tl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fa529 Tl Pt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fa529 Tl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0034
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

Fa529 Tl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fa529 Tl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fa529 Tl Pt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fa529 Tl Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fa529 Tl Technical Analysis

Fa529 Tl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fa529 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fa529 Tl Pt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fa529 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fa529 Tl Predictive Forecast Models

Fa529 Tl's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fa529 Tl's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fa529 Tl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fa529 Tl Pt

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fa529 Tl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fa529 Tl Pt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fa529 Tl Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fa529 Mutual Fund

Fa529 Tl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fa529 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fa529 with respect to the benefits of owning Fa529 Tl security.
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