Fuel Tech Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.10
| FTEK Stock | USD 1.06 0.02 1.85% |
Fuel |
Fuel Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 8.10
The tendency of Fuel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.10 or more in 90 days |
| 1.06 | 90 days | 8.10 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fuel Tech to move over $ 8.10 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fuel Tech probability density function shows the probability of Fuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fuel Tech price to stay between its current price of $ 1.06 and $ 8.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fuel Tech has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fuel Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fuel Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fuel Tech has an alpha of 0.0283, implying that it can generate a 0.0283 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fuel Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fuel Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuel Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuel Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fuel Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fuel Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fuel Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fuel Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fuel Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Fuel Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fuel Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fuel Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fuel Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.64 M. | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Sharon Jones Acquires 14,000 Shares of Fuel Tech Inc |
Fuel Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fuel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fuel Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuel Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.7 M |
Fuel Tech Technical Analysis
Fuel Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fuel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fuel Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fuel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fuel Tech Predictive Forecast Models
Fuel Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fuel Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fuel Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fuel Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fuel Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fuel Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fuel Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.64 M. | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Sharon Jones Acquires 14,000 Shares of Fuel Tech Inc |
Check out Fuel Tech Backtesting, Fuel Tech Valuation, Fuel Tech Correlation, Fuel Tech Hype Analysis, Fuel Tech Volatility, Fuel Tech History as well as Fuel Tech Performance. For more information on how to buy Fuel Stock please use our How to buy in Fuel Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuel Tech. If investors know Fuel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fuel Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 0.859 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Fuel Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fuel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fuel Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fuel Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fuel Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fuel Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuel Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuel Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fuel Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.