Frontier Transport (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 718.75
| FTH Stock | 730.00 59.00 7.48% |
Frontier |
Frontier Transport Target Price Odds to finish over 718.75
The tendency of Frontier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 718.75 in 90 days |
| 730.00 | 90 days | 718.75 | over 95.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontier Transport to stay above 718.75 in 90 days from now is over 95.35 (This Frontier Transport Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Frontier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontier Transport price to stay between 718.75 and its current price of 730.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates Frontier Transport Holdings market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Frontier Transport is expected to follow. Additionally Frontier Transport Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Frontier Transport Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Frontier Transport
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frontier Transport Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontier Transport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontier Transport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontier Transport Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontier Transport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 31.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0015 |
Frontier Transport Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontier Transport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontier Transport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Frontier Transport had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Frontier Transport Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frontier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frontier Transport's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontier Transport's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 290 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 578.2 M |
Frontier Transport Technical Analysis
Frontier Transport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontier Transport Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Frontier Transport Predictive Forecast Models
Frontier Transport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontier Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontier Transport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Frontier Transport
Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontier Transport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontier Transport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Frontier Transport had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Frontier Stock
Frontier Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frontier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frontier with respect to the benefits of owning Frontier Transport security.