Ticon Freehold (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.29

FTREIT Stock   10.30  0.20  1.98%   
Ticon Freehold's future price is the expected price of Ticon Freehold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ticon Freehold and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ticon Freehold Backtesting, Ticon Freehold Valuation, Ticon Freehold Correlation, Ticon Freehold Hype Analysis, Ticon Freehold Volatility, Ticon Freehold History as well as Ticon Freehold Performance.
  
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Ticon Freehold Target Price Odds to finish over 10.29

The tendency of Ticon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  10.29  in 90 days
 10.30 90 days 10.29 
about 54.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ticon Freehold to stay above  10.29  in 90 days from now is about 54.72 (This Ticon Freehold and probability density function shows the probability of Ticon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ticon Freehold price to stay between  10.29  and its current price of 10.3 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ticon Freehold and has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ticon Freehold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ticon Freehold and is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ticon Freehold and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ticon Freehold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ticon Freehold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ticon Freehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5210.301,040
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.438.621,039
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.2110.74137.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9110.2310.55
Details

Ticon Freehold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ticon Freehold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ticon Freehold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ticon Freehold and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ticon Freehold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Ticon Freehold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ticon Freehold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ticon Freehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ticon Freehold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ticon Freehold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ticon Freehold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ticon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ticon Freehold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ticon Freehold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B

Ticon Freehold Technical Analysis

Ticon Freehold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ticon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ticon Freehold and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ticon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ticon Freehold Predictive Forecast Models

Ticon Freehold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ticon Freehold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ticon Freehold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ticon Freehold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ticon Freehold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ticon Freehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ticon Freehold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ticon Freehold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ticon Stock

Ticon Freehold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ticon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ticon with respect to the benefits of owning Ticon Freehold security.