VINACAPITAL VN100 (Vietnam) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 18,218
| FUEVN100 | 17,900 20.00 0.11% |
VINACAPITAL |
VINACAPITAL VN100 Target Price Odds to finish below 18,218
The tendency of VINACAPITAL Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 17,900 | 90 days | 17,900 | about 68.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VINACAPITAL VN100 to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 68.84 (This VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF probability density function shows the probability of VINACAPITAL Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF has a beta of -0.0426. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VINACAPITAL VN100 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF has an alpha of 0.0346, implying that it can generate a 0.0346 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VINACAPITAL VN100 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VINACAPITAL VN100
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VINACAPITAL VN100 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VINACAPITAL VN100 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VINACAPITAL VN100's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VINACAPITAL VN100 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 331.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
VINACAPITAL VN100 Technical Analysis
VINACAPITAL VN100's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VINACAPITAL Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VINACAPITAL VN100 ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing VINACAPITAL Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VINACAPITAL VN100 Predictive Forecast Models
VINACAPITAL VN100's time-series forecasting models is one of many VINACAPITAL VN100's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VINACAPITAL VN100's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VINACAPITAL VN100 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VINACAPITAL VN100's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VINACAPITAL VN100 options trading.