CAIXABANK UNADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.57

FV9J Stock  EUR 1.57  0.03  1.88%   
CAIXABANK UNADR's future price is the expected price of CAIXABANK UNADR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CAIXABANK UNADR 13 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CAIXABANK UNADR Backtesting, CAIXABANK UNADR Valuation, CAIXABANK UNADR Correlation, CAIXABANK UNADR Hype Analysis, CAIXABANK UNADR Volatility, CAIXABANK UNADR History as well as CAIXABANK UNADR Performance.
  
Please specify CAIXABANK UNADR's target price for which you would like CAIXABANK UNADR odds to be computed.

CAIXABANK UNADR Target Price Odds to finish over 1.57

The tendency of CAIXABANK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.57 90 days 1.57 
about 85.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAIXABANK UNADR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.89 (This CAIXABANK UNADR 13 probability density function shows the probability of CAIXABANK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAIXABANK UNADR has a beta of 0.0358. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, CAIXABANK UNADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CAIXABANK UNADR 13 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CAIXABANK UNADR 13 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CAIXABANK UNADR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CAIXABANK UNADR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAIXABANK UNADR 13. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.573.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.343.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.533.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.521.601.68
Details

CAIXABANK UNADR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAIXABANK UNADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAIXABANK UNADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAIXABANK UNADR 13, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAIXABANK UNADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

CAIXABANK UNADR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAIXABANK UNADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAIXABANK UNADR 13 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CAIXABANK UNADR 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CAIXABANK UNADR 13 may become a speculative penny stock

CAIXABANK UNADR Technical Analysis

CAIXABANK UNADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CAIXABANK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CAIXABANK UNADR 13. In general, you should focus on analyzing CAIXABANK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CAIXABANK UNADR Predictive Forecast Models

CAIXABANK UNADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many CAIXABANK UNADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CAIXABANK UNADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CAIXABANK UNADR 13

Checking the ongoing alerts about CAIXABANK UNADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CAIXABANK UNADR 13 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CAIXABANK UNADR 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CAIXABANK UNADR 13 may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in CAIXABANK Stock

CAIXABANK UNADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether CAIXABANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CAIXABANK with respect to the benefits of owning CAIXABANK UNADR security.