Filter Vision (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.24

FVC Stock  THB 0.71  0.01  1.39%   
Filter Vision's future price is the expected price of Filter Vision instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Filter Vision Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Filter Vision Backtesting, Filter Vision Valuation, Filter Vision Correlation, Filter Vision Hype Analysis, Filter Vision Volatility, Filter Vision History as well as Filter Vision Performance.
  
Please specify Filter Vision's target price for which you would like Filter Vision odds to be computed.

Filter Vision Target Price Odds to finish over 1.24

The tendency of Filter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.24  or more in 90 days
 0.71 90 days 1.24 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Filter Vision to move over  1.24  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Filter Vision Public probability density function shows the probability of Filter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Filter Vision Public price to stay between its current price of  0.71  and  1.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Filter Vision has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Filter Vision average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Filter Vision Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Filter Vision Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Filter Vision Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Filter Vision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Filter Vision Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.712.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.612.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.742.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.700.710.72
Details

Filter Vision Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Filter Vision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Filter Vision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Filter Vision Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Filter Vision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Filter Vision Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Filter Vision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Filter Vision Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Filter Vision Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Filter Vision Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Filter Vision Public has accumulated about 7.3 M in cash with (8.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Filter Vision Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Filter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Filter Vision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Filter Vision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding565.1 M

Filter Vision Technical Analysis

Filter Vision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Filter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Filter Vision Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Filter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Filter Vision Predictive Forecast Models

Filter Vision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Filter Vision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Filter Vision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Filter Vision Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Filter Vision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Filter Vision Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Filter Vision Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Filter Vision Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Filter Vision Public has accumulated about 7.3 M in cash with (8.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Filter Stock

Filter Vision financial ratios help investors to determine whether Filter Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Filter with respect to the benefits of owning Filter Vision security.