FIH Mobile (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0824

FW3 Stock  EUR 0.10  0  3.09%   
FIH Mobile's future price is the expected price of FIH Mobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FIH Mobile Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FIH Mobile Backtesting, FIH Mobile Valuation, FIH Mobile Correlation, FIH Mobile Hype Analysis, FIH Mobile Volatility, FIH Mobile History as well as FIH Mobile Performance.
  
Please specify FIH Mobile's target price for which you would like FIH Mobile odds to be computed.

FIH Mobile Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0824

The tendency of FIH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.08  or more in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.08 
about 19.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIH Mobile to drop to € 0.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.08 (This FIH Mobile Limited probability density function shows the probability of FIH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIH Mobile Limited price to stay between € 0.08  and its current price of €0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FIH Mobile Limited has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FIH Mobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FIH Mobile Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FIH Mobile Limited has an alpha of 0.4933, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FIH Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIH Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIH Mobile Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.106.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.086.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.16.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.10.10
Details

FIH Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIH Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIH Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIH Mobile Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIH Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

FIH Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIH Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIH Mobile Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIH Mobile Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FIH Mobile Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FIH Mobile Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FIH Mobile Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

FIH Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FIH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FIH Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FIH Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

FIH Mobile Technical Analysis

FIH Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIH Mobile Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FIH Mobile Predictive Forecast Models

FIH Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIH Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIH Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FIH Mobile Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about FIH Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIH Mobile Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIH Mobile Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FIH Mobile Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FIH Mobile Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FIH Mobile Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in FIH Stock

FIH Mobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether FIH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FIH with respect to the benefits of owning FIH Mobile security.