AJ LUCAS (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.54E-4
| FW9 Stock | EUR 0.0005 0.0005 50.00% |
FW9 |
AJ LUCAS Target Price Odds to finish over 8.54E-4
The tendency of FW9 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 0.0009 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0005 | 90 days | 0.0009 | about 75.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AJ LUCAS to move over € 0.0009 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.31 (This AJ LUCAS GROUP probability density function shows the probability of FW9 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AJ LUCAS GROUP price to stay between its current price of € 0.0005 and € 0.0009 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 6.1 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AJ LUCAS will likely underperform. Moreover AJ LUCAS GROUP has an alpha of 1.8167, implying that it can generate a 1.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AJ LUCAS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AJ LUCAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AJ LUCAS GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AJ LUCAS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AJ LUCAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AJ LUCAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AJ LUCAS GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AJ LUCAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 6.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
AJ LUCAS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AJ LUCAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AJ LUCAS GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AJ LUCAS GROUP is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has accumulated 107.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AJ LUCAS GROUP has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AJ LUCAS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AJ LUCAS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AJ LUCAS GROUP sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FW9 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AJ LUCAS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of AJ LUCAS shares are owned by institutional investors |
AJ LUCAS Technical Analysis
AJ LUCAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FW9 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AJ LUCAS GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing FW9 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AJ LUCAS Predictive Forecast Models
AJ LUCAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many AJ LUCAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AJ LUCAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AJ LUCAS GROUP
Checking the ongoing alerts about AJ LUCAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AJ LUCAS GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AJ LUCAS GROUP is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AJ LUCAS GROUP has accumulated 107.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AJ LUCAS GROUP has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AJ LUCAS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AJ LUCAS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AJ LUCAS GROUP sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FW9 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AJ LUCAS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of AJ LUCAS shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in FW9 Stock
AJ LUCAS financial ratios help investors to determine whether FW9 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FW9 with respect to the benefits of owning AJ LUCAS security.