Fs Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 28.56
| FXLG Stock | USD 31.50 0.51 1.65% |
FXLG |
FS Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 28.56
The tendency of FXLG Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 28.56 in 90 days |
| 31.50 | 90 days | 28.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FS Bancorp to stay above $ 28.56 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FS Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of FXLG Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FS Bancorp price to stay between $ 28.56 and its current price of $31.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FS Bancorp has a beta of -0.0319. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FS Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FS Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FS Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0635, implying that it can generate a 0.0635 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FS Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FS Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FS Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FS Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FS Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FS Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FS Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
FS Bancorp Technical Analysis
FS Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FXLG Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FS Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FXLG Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FS Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
FS Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FS Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FS Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FS Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FS Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FS Bancorp options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FXLG Pink Sheet
When determining whether FS Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze FS Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FS Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FXLG Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:Check out FS Bancorp Backtesting, FS Bancorp Valuation, FS Bancorp Correlation, FS Bancorp Hype Analysis, FS Bancorp Volatility, FS Bancorp History as well as FS Bancorp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in FXLG Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in FS Bancorp guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.