Fs Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 30.11

FXLG Stock  USD 31.50  0.00  0.00%   
FS Bancorp's future price is the expected price of FS Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FS Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FS Bancorp Backtesting, FS Bancorp Valuation, FS Bancorp Correlation, FS Bancorp Hype Analysis, FS Bancorp Volatility, FS Bancorp History as well as FS Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in FXLG Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in FS Bancorp guide.
  
Please specify FS Bancorp's target price for which you would like FS Bancorp odds to be computed.

FS Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 30.11

The tendency of FXLG Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 30.11  in 90 days
 31.50 90 days 30.11 
about 89.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FS Bancorp to stay above $ 30.11  in 90 days from now is about 89.81 (This FS Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of FXLG Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FS Bancorp price to stay between $ 30.11  and its current price of $31.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FS Bancorp has a beta of -0.0329. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FS Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FS Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FS Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0639, implying that it can generate a 0.0639 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FS Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FS Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.2031.6332.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6931.1231.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.2731.7032.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.1431.4531.75
Details

FS Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FS Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FS Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FS Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FS Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

FS Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FS Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FS Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: SL Green starts 40M share offering stock dips

FS Bancorp Technical Analysis

FS Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FXLG Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FS Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FXLG Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FS Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

FS Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FS Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FS Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FS Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about FS Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FS Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: SL Green starts 40M share offering stock dips

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FXLG Pink Sheet

When determining whether FS Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze FS Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FS Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FXLG Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FS Bancorp Backtesting, FS Bancorp Valuation, FS Bancorp Correlation, FS Bancorp Hype Analysis, FS Bancorp Volatility, FS Bancorp History as well as FS Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in FXLG Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in FS Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FS Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FS Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FS Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.