Gmo Resources Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.38

GAAHX Fund  USD 20.33  0.08  0.40%   
Gmo Resources' future price is the expected price of Gmo Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gmo Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gmo Resources Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gmo Resources Correlation, Gmo Resources Hype Analysis, Gmo Resources Volatility, Gmo Resources History as well as Gmo Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Gmo Resources' target price for which you would like Gmo Resources odds to be computed.

Gmo Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 20.38

The tendency of Gmo Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.38  or more in 90 days
 20.33 90 days 20.38 
about 48.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gmo Resources to move over $ 20.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 48.47 (This Gmo Resources probability density function shows the probability of Gmo Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gmo Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 20.33  and $ 20.38  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gmo Resources has a beta of -0.0342. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gmo Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gmo Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gmo Resources has an alpha of 0.0144, implying that it can generate a 0.0144 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gmo Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gmo Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gmo Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0820.3321.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0820.3321.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.0520.3021.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8820.1820.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gmo Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gmo Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gmo Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gmo Resources.

Gmo Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gmo Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gmo Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gmo Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gmo Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Gmo Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gmo Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gmo Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gmo Resources Technical Analysis

Gmo Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gmo Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gmo Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gmo Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gmo Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Gmo Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gmo Resources' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gmo Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gmo Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gmo Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gmo Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Resources security.
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