The Gabelli Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 31.35
| GAGCX Fund | USD 31.77 0.19 0.60% |
The |
The Gabelli Target Price Odds to finish over 31.35
The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 31.35 in 90 days |
| 31.77 | 90 days | 31.35 | about 77.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Gabelli to stay above $ 31.35 in 90 days from now is about 77.52 (This The Gabelli Global probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabelli Global price to stay between $ 31.35 and its current price of $31.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Gabelli has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, The Gabelli average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Gabelli Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Gabelli Global has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. The Gabelli Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for The Gabelli
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Gabelli's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
The Gabelli Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Gabelli is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Gabelli's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Gabelli Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Gabelli within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
The Gabelli Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Gabelli for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Gabelli Global retains 98.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
The Gabelli Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of The Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential The Gabelli's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. The Gabelli's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
The Gabelli Technical Analysis
The Gabelli's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. The Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Gabelli Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing The Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
The Gabelli Predictive Forecast Models
The Gabelli's time-series forecasting models is one of many The Gabelli's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary The Gabelli's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gabelli Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about The Gabelli for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Gabelli Global retains 98.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund
The Gabelli financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Gabelli security.
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