Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.19
| GAGV Stock | EUR 8.00 0.40 4.76% |
Gurktaler |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Target Price Odds to finish below 2.19
The tendency of Gurktaler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.19 or more in 90 days |
| 8.00 | 90 days | 2.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha to drop to € 2.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Gurktaler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha price to stay between € 2.19 and its current price of €8.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft has a beta of -0.4. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.0499, implying that it can generate a 0.0499 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gurktaler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.08 | |
| Float Shares | 734.32k | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 26 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 25 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Technical Analysis
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gurktaler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gurktaler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Predictive Forecast Models
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Gurktaler Stock
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gurktaler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gurktaler with respect to the benefits of owning Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha security.