Kellner Merger Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.97
| GAKIX Fund | USD 10.94 0.01 0.09% |
Kellner |
Kellner Merger Target Price Odds to finish over 11.97
The tendency of Kellner Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.97 or more in 90 days |
| 10.94 | 90 days | 11.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kellner Merger to move over $ 11.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kellner Merger Fund probability density function shows the probability of Kellner Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kellner Merger price to stay between its current price of $ 10.94 and $ 11.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kellner Merger Fund has a beta of -0.05. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kellner Merger are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kellner Merger Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kellner Merger Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kellner Merger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kellner Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kellner Merger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kellner Merger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kellner Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kellner Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kellner Merger Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kellner Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.38 |
Kellner Merger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kellner Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kellner Merger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kellner Merger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 28.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Kellner Merger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kellner Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kellner Merger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kellner Merger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Kellner Merger Technical Analysis
Kellner Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kellner Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kellner Merger Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kellner Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kellner Merger Predictive Forecast Models
Kellner Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kellner Merger's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kellner Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kellner Merger
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kellner Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kellner Merger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kellner Merger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 28.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Kellner Mutual Fund
Kellner Merger financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kellner Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kellner with respect to the benefits of owning Kellner Merger security.
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