GAM Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.57
| GAM Stock | CHF 0.1 0 2.63% |
GAM |
GAM Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 12.57
The tendency of GAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 12.57 or more in 90 days |
| 0.1 | 90 days | 12.57 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Holding to move over ₣ 12.57 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GAM Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of GAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GAM Holding AG price to stay between its current price of ₣ 0.1 and ₣ 12.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GAM Holding AG has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GAM Holding AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Holding AG has an alpha of 0.1716, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GAM Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GAM Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GAM Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GAM Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GAM Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GAM Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GAM Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GAM Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
GAM Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GAM Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GAM Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GAM Holding AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GAM Holding AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GAM Holding AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 681.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.4 M. |
GAM Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GAM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GAM Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GAM Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.9 M |
GAM Holding Technical Analysis
GAM Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GAM Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing GAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GAM Holding Predictive Forecast Models
GAM Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many GAM Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GAM Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GAM Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about GAM Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GAM Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GAM Holding AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GAM Holding AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GAM Holding AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 681.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.4 M. |
Additional Tools for GAM Stock Analysis
When running GAM Holding's price analysis, check to measure GAM Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GAM Holding is operating at the current time. Most of GAM Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GAM Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GAM Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GAM Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.