General American Investors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.96
| GAM Stock | USD 49.57 0.36 0.72% |
General |
General American Target Price Odds to finish below 48.96
The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 48.96 or more in 90 days |
| 49.57 | 90 days | 48.96 | about 57.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General American to drop to $ 48.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.39 (This General American Investors probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General American Inv price to stay between $ 48.96 and its current price of $49.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon General American Investors has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding General American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, General American Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally General American Investors has an alpha of 0.0559, implying that it can generate a 0.0559 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). General American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for General American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General American Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.General American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General American Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
General American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General American Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| General American Investors has 2.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 1607 Capital Partners, LLC Expands Holdings in Nuveen Select Maturities Municipal Fund |
General American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.55 | |
| Shares Float | 21 M |
General American Technical Analysis
General American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General American Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General American Predictive Forecast Models
General American's time-series forecasting models is one of many General American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General American Inv
Checking the ongoing alerts about General American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General American Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| General American Investors has 2.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 1607 Capital Partners, LLC Expands Holdings in Nuveen Select Maturities Municipal Fund |
Check out General American Backtesting, General American Valuation, General American Correlation, General American Hype Analysis, General American Volatility, General American History as well as General American Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General American. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 2.65 | Earnings Share 12.79 | Revenue Per Share 1.147 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 |
The market value of General American Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.