Gamatronic Electronic (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 865.93

GAMT Stock   945.40  0.60  0.06%   
Gamatronic Electronic's future price is the expected price of Gamatronic Electronic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gamatronic Electronic Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gamatronic Electronic Backtesting, Gamatronic Electronic Valuation, Gamatronic Electronic Correlation, Gamatronic Electronic Hype Analysis, Gamatronic Electronic Volatility, Gamatronic Electronic History as well as Gamatronic Electronic Performance.
  
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Gamatronic Electronic Target Price Odds to finish below 865.93

The tendency of Gamatronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  865.93  or more in 90 days
 945.40 90 days 865.93 
about 5.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gamatronic Electronic to drop to  865.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.09 (This Gamatronic Electronic Industries probability density function shows the probability of Gamatronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gamatronic Electronic price to stay between  865.93  and its current price of 945.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gamatronic Electronic Industries has a beta of -0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gamatronic Electronic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gamatronic Electronic Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gamatronic Electronic Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gamatronic Electronic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gamatronic Electronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gamatronic Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
941.81945.40948.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
801.93805.521,040
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
862.34865.93869.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
874.95915.53956.11
Details

Gamatronic Electronic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gamatronic Electronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gamatronic Electronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gamatronic Electronic Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gamatronic Electronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
64.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Gamatronic Electronic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gamatronic Electronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gamatronic Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gamatronic Electronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gamatronic Electronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 65.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Gamatronic Electronic generates negative cash flow from operations

Gamatronic Electronic Technical Analysis

Gamatronic Electronic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gamatronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gamatronic Electronic Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gamatronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gamatronic Electronic Predictive Forecast Models

Gamatronic Electronic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gamatronic Electronic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gamatronic Electronic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gamatronic Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gamatronic Electronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gamatronic Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gamatronic Electronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gamatronic Electronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 65.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Gamatronic Electronic generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Gamatronic Stock

Gamatronic Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gamatronic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gamatronic with respect to the benefits of owning Gamatronic Electronic security.