Gotham Absolute Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 23.69
| GARIX Fund | USD 24.16 0.08 0.33% |
Gotham |
Gotham Absolute Target Price Odds to finish below 23.69
The tendency of Gotham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 23.69 or more in 90 days |
| 24.16 | 90 days | 23.69 | about 32.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gotham Absolute to drop to $ 23.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.87 (This Gotham Absolute Return probability density function shows the probability of Gotham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gotham Absolute Return price to stay between $ 23.69 and its current price of $24.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gotham Absolute has a beta of 0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gotham Absolute average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gotham Absolute Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gotham Absolute Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gotham Absolute Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gotham Absolute
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gotham Absolute Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gotham Absolute Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gotham Absolute is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gotham Absolute's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gotham Absolute Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gotham Absolute within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0055 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Gotham Absolute Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gotham Absolute for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gotham Absolute Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 91.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Gotham Absolute Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gotham Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gotham Absolute's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gotham Absolute's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Gotham Absolute Technical Analysis
Gotham Absolute's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gotham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gotham Absolute Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gotham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gotham Absolute Predictive Forecast Models
Gotham Absolute's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gotham Absolute's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gotham Absolute's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gotham Absolute Return
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gotham Absolute for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gotham Absolute Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 91.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund
Gotham Absolute financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Absolute security.
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
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