Hennessy Gas Utility Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 29.46

GASFX Fund  USD 27.18  0.02  0.07%   
Hennessy Gas' future price is the expected price of Hennessy Gas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hennessy Gas Utility performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hennessy Gas Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Hennessy Gas Correlation, Hennessy Gas Hype Analysis, Hennessy Gas Volatility, Hennessy Gas History as well as Hennessy Gas Performance.
  
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Hennessy Gas Target Price Odds to finish below 29.46

The tendency of Hennessy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 29.46  after 90 days
 27.18 90 days 29.46 
about 92.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hennessy Gas to stay under $ 29.46  after 90 days from now is about 92.77 (This Hennessy Gas Utility probability density function shows the probability of Hennessy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hennessy Gas Utility price to stay between its current price of $ 27.18  and $ 29.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Gas has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hennessy Gas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hennessy Gas Utility will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hennessy Gas Utility has an alpha of 0.009, implying that it can generate a 0.008956 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hennessy Gas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hennessy Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hennessy Gas Utility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2227.2028.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.5227.5028.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2725.2526.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.5628.4530.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hennessy Gas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hennessy Gas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hennessy Gas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hennessy Gas Utility.

Hennessy Gas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hennessy Gas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hennessy Gas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hennessy Gas Utility, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hennessy Gas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Hennessy Gas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hennessy Gas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hennessy Gas Utility can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.34% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Hennessy Gas Technical Analysis

Hennessy Gas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hennessy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hennessy Gas Utility. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hennessy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hennessy Gas Predictive Forecast Models

Hennessy Gas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hennessy Gas' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hennessy Gas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hennessy Gas Utility

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hennessy Gas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hennessy Gas Utility help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.34% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Gas security.
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