Naturgy Energy Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.66
| GASNY Stock | USD 4.66 0.02 0.43% |
Naturgy |
Naturgy Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 4.66
The tendency of Naturgy Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4.66 | 90 days | 4.66 | nearly 4.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Naturgy Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.07 (This Naturgy Energy Group probability density function shows the probability of Naturgy Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Naturgy Energy Group has a beta of -0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Naturgy Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Naturgy Energy Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Naturgy Energy Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Naturgy Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Naturgy Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naturgy Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Naturgy Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Naturgy Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Naturgy Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Naturgy Energy Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Naturgy Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Naturgy Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Naturgy Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Naturgy Energy Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Naturgy Energy Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Naturgy Energy Group has accumulated 13.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Naturgy Energy Group has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Naturgy Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Naturgy Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Naturgy Energy Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Naturgy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Naturgy Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Naturgy Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Naturgy Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Naturgy Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Naturgy Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Naturgy Energy Technical Analysis
Naturgy Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Naturgy Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Naturgy Energy Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Naturgy Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Naturgy Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Naturgy Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Naturgy Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Naturgy Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Naturgy Energy Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Naturgy Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Naturgy Energy Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Naturgy Energy Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Naturgy Energy Group has accumulated 13.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.49, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Naturgy Energy Group has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Naturgy Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Naturgy Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Naturgy Energy Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Naturgy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Naturgy Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Naturgy Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Naturgy Energy's price analysis, check to measure Naturgy Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Naturgy Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Naturgy Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Naturgy Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Naturgy Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Naturgy Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.