Marblegate Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.26
| GATE Stock | USD 11.13 0.06 0.54% |
Marblegate |
Marblegate Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 8.26
The tendency of Marblegate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.26 or more in 90 days |
| 11.13 | 90 days | 8.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marblegate Acquisition to drop to $ 8.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marblegate Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Marblegate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marblegate Acquisition price to stay between $ 8.26 and its current price of $11.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Marblegate Acquisition Corp has a beta of -0.0149. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marblegate Acquisition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marblegate Acquisition Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marblegate Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0116, implying that it can generate a 0.0116 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marblegate Acquisition Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marblegate Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marblegate Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marblegate Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marblegate Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marblegate Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marblegate Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marblegate Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marblegate Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Marblegate Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marblegate Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marblegate Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Net Loss for the year was (5.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Marblegate Acquisition Corp currently holds about 66.37 K in cash with (2.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Marblegate Acquisition has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Marblegate Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marblegate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marblegate Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marblegate Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.9 K |
Marblegate Acquisition Technical Analysis
Marblegate Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marblegate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marblegate Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marblegate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marblegate Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Marblegate Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marblegate Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marblegate Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marblegate Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marblegate Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marblegate Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Net Loss for the year was (5.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Marblegate Acquisition Corp currently holds about 66.37 K in cash with (2.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Marblegate Acquisition has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Marblegate Acquisition Backtesting, Marblegate Acquisition Valuation, Marblegate Acquisition Correlation, Marblegate Acquisition Hype Analysis, Marblegate Acquisition Volatility, Marblegate Acquisition History as well as Marblegate Acquisition Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marblegate Acquisition. If investors know Marblegate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marblegate Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Marblegate Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marblegate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marblegate Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marblegate Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marblegate Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marblegate Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marblegate Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marblegate Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marblegate Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.