Gul Ahmed (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.89
| GATM Stock | 23.89 0.11 0.46% |
Gul |
Gul Ahmed Target Price Odds to finish below 23.89
The tendency of Gul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 23.89 | 90 days | 23.89 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gul Ahmed to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gul Ahmed Textile probability density function shows the probability of Gul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gul Ahmed Textile has a beta of -0.0203. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gul Ahmed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gul Ahmed Textile is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gul Ahmed Textile has an alpha of 0.4073, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gul Ahmed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gul Ahmed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gul Ahmed Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gul Ahmed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gul Ahmed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gul Ahmed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gul Ahmed Textile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gul Ahmed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Gul Ahmed Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gul Ahmed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gul Ahmed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 137.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 32.1 B |
Gul Ahmed Technical Analysis
Gul Ahmed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gul Ahmed Textile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gul Ahmed Predictive Forecast Models
Gul Ahmed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gul Ahmed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gul Ahmed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Gul Ahmed in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Gul Ahmed's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Gul Ahmed options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Gul Stock
Gul Ahmed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gul Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gul with respect to the benefits of owning Gul Ahmed security.