Groep Brussel (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.99

GBLB Stock  EUR 65.25  0.70  1.08%   
Groep Brussel's future price is the expected price of Groep Brussel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Groep Brussel Lambert performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Groep Brussel Backtesting, Groep Brussel Valuation, Groep Brussel Correlation, Groep Brussel Hype Analysis, Groep Brussel Volatility, Groep Brussel History as well as Groep Brussel Performance.
  
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Groep Brussel Target Price Odds to finish below 63.99

The tendency of Groep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 63.99  or more in 90 days
 65.25 90 days 63.99 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groep Brussel to drop to € 63.99  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Groep Brussel Lambert probability density function shows the probability of Groep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Groep Brussel Lambert price to stay between € 63.99  and its current price of €65.25 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groep Brussel has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Groep Brussel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Groep Brussel Lambert will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Groep Brussel Lambert has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Groep Brussel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Groep Brussel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groep Brussel Lambert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.3365.2566.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.7366.3367.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.7865.7066.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.3665.0265.68
Details

Groep Brussel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groep Brussel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groep Brussel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groep Brussel Lambert, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groep Brussel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
1.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Groep Brussel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groep Brussel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groep Brussel Lambert can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groep Brussel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Groep Brussel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groep Brussel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groep Brussel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Groep Brussel Technical Analysis

Groep Brussel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groep Brussel Lambert. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Groep Brussel Predictive Forecast Models

Groep Brussel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groep Brussel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groep Brussel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Groep Brussel Lambert

Checking the ongoing alerts about Groep Brussel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groep Brussel Lambert help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groep Brussel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Groep Stock Analysis

When running Groep Brussel's price analysis, check to measure Groep Brussel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groep Brussel is operating at the current time. Most of Groep Brussel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groep Brussel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groep Brussel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groep Brussel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.