Global Energy Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.007968

GBLEF Stock  USD 0.01  0  48.19%   
Global Energy's future price is the expected price of Global Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Energy Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Energy Backtesting, Global Energy Valuation, Global Energy Correlation, Global Energy Hype Analysis, Global Energy Volatility, Global Energy History as well as Global Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Global Energy's target price for which you would like Global Energy odds to be computed.

Global Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.007968

The tendency of Global OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 92.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Energy to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 92.08 (This Global Energy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Global OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Energy Metals price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.0123 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Energy has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Energy Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Energy Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Energy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.019.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.019.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.019.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Global Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Energy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Global Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Energy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Global Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Global Energy Metals has accumulated about 1.25 M in cash with (948.81 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Global Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.5 M

Global Energy Technical Analysis

Global Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Energy Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Global Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Energy Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Energy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Global Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Global Energy Metals has accumulated about 1.25 M in cash with (948.81 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Global OTC Stock

Global Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Energy security.