Gcm Grosvenor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.00
| GCMG Stock | USD 12.41 0.02 0.16% |
GCM |
GCM Grosvenor Target Price Odds to finish below 11.00
The tendency of GCM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.00 or more in 90 days |
| 12.41 | 90 days | 11.00 | about 16.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GCM Grosvenor to drop to $ 11.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.2 (This GCM Grosvenor probability density function shows the probability of GCM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GCM Grosvenor price to stay between $ 11.00 and its current price of $12.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GCM Grosvenor has a beta of 0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GCM Grosvenor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GCM Grosvenor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GCM Grosvenor has an alpha of 0.1629, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GCM Grosvenor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GCM Grosvenor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GCM Grosvenor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GCM Grosvenor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GCM Grosvenor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GCM Grosvenor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GCM Grosvenor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GCM Grosvenor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
GCM Grosvenor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GCM Grosvenor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GCM Grosvenor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GCM Grosvenor has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. Announces Sale of Shortline Rail and Bulk Handling ... |
GCM Grosvenor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GCM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GCM Grosvenor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCM Grosvenor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.4 M |
GCM Grosvenor Technical Analysis
GCM Grosvenor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GCM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GCM Grosvenor. In general, you should focus on analyzing GCM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GCM Grosvenor Predictive Forecast Models
GCM Grosvenor's time-series forecasting models is one of many GCM Grosvenor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GCM Grosvenor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GCM Grosvenor
Checking the ongoing alerts about GCM Grosvenor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GCM Grosvenor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GCM Grosvenor has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. Announces Sale of Shortline Rail and Bulk Handling ... |
Check out GCM Grosvenor Backtesting, GCM Grosvenor Valuation, GCM Grosvenor Correlation, GCM Grosvenor Hype Analysis, GCM Grosvenor Volatility, GCM Grosvenor History as well as GCM Grosvenor Performance. For more detail on how to invest in GCM Stock please use our How to Invest in GCM Grosvenor guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GCM Grosvenor. If investors know GCM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GCM Grosvenor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.44 | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share 10.454 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
The market value of GCM Grosvenor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GCM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GCM Grosvenor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GCM Grosvenor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GCM Grosvenor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GCM Grosvenor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GCM Grosvenor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GCM Grosvenor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GCM Grosvenor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.