Gateway Equity Call Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.46

GCPNX Fund  USD 20.16  0.06  0.30%   
Gateway Equity's future price is the expected price of Gateway Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gateway Equity Call performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gateway Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gateway Equity Correlation, Gateway Equity Hype Analysis, Gateway Equity Volatility, Gateway Equity History as well as Gateway Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Gateway Equity's target price for which you would like Gateway Equity odds to be computed.

Gateway Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 19.46

The tendency of Gateway Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.46  in 90 days
 20.16 90 days 19.46 
about 51.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gateway Equity to stay above $ 19.46  in 90 days from now is about 51.02 (This Gateway Equity Call probability density function shows the probability of Gateway Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gateway Equity Call price to stay between $ 19.46  and its current price of $20.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gateway Equity has a beta of 0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gateway Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gateway Equity Call will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gateway Equity Call has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gateway Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gateway Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gateway Equity Call. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7020.1620.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4919.9520.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7620.2320.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7820.0220.25
Details

Gateway Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gateway Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gateway Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gateway Equity Call, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gateway Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Gateway Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gateway Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gateway Equity Call can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gateway Equity Technical Analysis

Gateway Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gateway Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gateway Equity Call. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gateway Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gateway Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Gateway Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gateway Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gateway Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gateway Equity Call

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gateway Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gateway Equity Call help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Gateway Mutual Fund

Gateway Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gateway Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gateway with respect to the benefits of owning Gateway Equity security.
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