Gd Culture Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.68
| GDC Stock | 2.51 0.23 8.39% |
GDC |
GD Culture Target Price Odds to finish below 2.68
The tendency of GDC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.68 after 90 days |
| 2.51 | 90 days | 2.68 | about 30.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GD Culture to stay under 2.68 after 90 days from now is about 30.9 (This GD Culture Group probability density function shows the probability of GDC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GD Culture Group price to stay between its current price of 2.51 and 2.68 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GD Culture Group has a beta of -1.88. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GD Culture Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GD Culture is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally GD Culture Group has an alpha of 0.5986, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GD Culture Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GD Culture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GD Culture Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GD Culture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GD Culture Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GD Culture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GD Culture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GD Culture Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GD Culture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
GD Culture Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GD Culture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GD Culture Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GD Culture Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GD Culture Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GD Culture Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 303.3 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| GD Culture generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| GD Culture Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lutnicks China ties draw fire after Trump taps him to lead US in trade, tariffs - Marketscreener.com |
GD Culture Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GDC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GD Culture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GD Culture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 9.7 M |
GD Culture Technical Analysis
GD Culture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GDC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GD Culture Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing GDC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GD Culture Predictive Forecast Models
GD Culture's time-series forecasting models is one of many GD Culture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GD Culture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GD Culture Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about GD Culture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GD Culture Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GD Culture Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GD Culture Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GD Culture Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 303.3 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| GD Culture generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| GD Culture Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lutnicks China ties draw fire after Trump taps him to lead US in trade, tariffs - Marketscreener.com |
Check out GD Culture Backtesting, GD Culture Valuation, GD Culture Correlation, GD Culture Hype Analysis, GD Culture Volatility, GD Culture History as well as GD Culture Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GD Culture. If investors know GDC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GD Culture listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.87) | Revenue Per Share (0.02) | Return On Assets (1.12) | Return On Equity (2.19) |
The market value of GD Culture Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GDC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GD Culture's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GD Culture's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GD Culture's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GD Culture's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GD Culture's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GD Culture is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GD Culture's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.