Sit Global Dividend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 28.46

GDGSX Fund  USD 28.55  0.16  0.56%   
Sit Global's future price is the expected price of Sit Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sit Global Dividend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sit Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Global Correlation, Sit Global Hype Analysis, Sit Global Volatility, Sit Global History as well as Sit Global Performance.
  
Please specify Sit Global's target price for which you would like Sit Global odds to be computed.

Sit Global Target Price Odds to finish below 28.46

The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 28.46  or more in 90 days
 28.55 90 days 28.46 
about 80.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Global to drop to $ 28.46  or more in 90 days from now is about 80.93 (This Sit Global Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sit Global Dividend price to stay between $ 28.46  and its current price of $28.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sit Global has a beta of 0.72. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Sit Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sit Global Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sit Global Dividend has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sit Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sit Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Global Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sit Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8928.5529.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7228.3829.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.0328.6929.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8128.2528.70
Details

Sit Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Global Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Sit Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Global Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Sit Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sit Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sit Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sit Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Sit Global Technical Analysis

Sit Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Global Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sit Global Predictive Forecast Models

Sit Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sit Global Dividend

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Global Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund

Sit Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Global security.
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