Good Natured Products Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.40

GDNPF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Good Natured's future price is the expected price of Good Natured instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of good natured Products performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Good Natured Backtesting, Good Natured Valuation, Good Natured Correlation, Good Natured Hype Analysis, Good Natured Volatility, Good Natured History as well as Good Natured Performance.
  
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Good Natured Target Price Odds to finish over 16.40

The tendency of Good Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.40  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 16.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Good Natured to move over $ 16.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This good natured Products probability density function shows the probability of Good Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of good natured Products price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 16.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.57 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Good Natured will likely underperform. Moreover Good natured Products has an alpha of 1.3828, implying that it can generate a 1.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Good Natured Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Good Natured

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as good natured Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0116.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00016.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.0116.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Good Natured Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Good Natured is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Good Natured's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold good natured Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Good Natured within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.0009
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Good Natured Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Good Natured for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for good natured Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Good Natured is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Good Natured has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Good Natured appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Good Natured has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
good natured Products has accumulated 43.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. good natured Products has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Good Natured until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Good Natured's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like good natured Products sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Good to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Good Natured's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 61.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.24 M.
good natured Products has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (13.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 12.0% of Good Natured shares are held by company insiders

Good Natured Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Good Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Good Natured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Good Natured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220.7 M

Good Natured Technical Analysis

Good Natured's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Good Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of good natured Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Good Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Good Natured Predictive Forecast Models

Good Natured's time-series forecasting models is one of many Good Natured's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Good Natured's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about good natured Products

Checking the ongoing alerts about Good Natured for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for good natured Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Good Natured is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Good Natured has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Good Natured appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Good Natured has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
good natured Products has accumulated 43.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. good natured Products has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Good Natured until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Good Natured's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like good natured Products sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Good to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Good Natured's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 61.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.24 M.
good natured Products has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (13.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 12.0% of Good Natured shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Good Pink Sheet

Good Natured financial ratios help investors to determine whether Good Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Good with respect to the benefits of owning Good Natured security.