Equity Index Institutional Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 60.97

GEQYX Fund  USD 61.71  0.35  0.57%   
Equity Index's future price is the expected price of Equity Index instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equity Index Institutional performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equity Index Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Equity Index Correlation, Equity Index Hype Analysis, Equity Index Volatility, Equity Index History as well as Equity Index Performance.
  
Please specify Equity Index's target price for which you would like Equity Index odds to be computed.

Equity Index Target Price Odds to finish below 60.97

The tendency of Equity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 60.97  or more in 90 days
 61.71 90 days 60.97 
about 89.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Index to drop to $ 60.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.1 (This Equity Index Institutional probability density function shows the probability of Equity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Index Institu price to stay between $ 60.97  and its current price of $61.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity Index has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Equity Index average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equity Index Institutional will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equity Index Institutional has an alpha of 0.0104, implying that it can generate a 0.0104 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equity Index Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equity Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Index Institu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Index's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.9861.7162.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.6662.3963.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.9761.7062.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.9961.0562.12
Details

Equity Index Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Index is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Index's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Index Institutional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Index within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Equity Index Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Index for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Index Institu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Equity Index Technical Analysis

Equity Index's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Index Institutional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equity Index Predictive Forecast Models

Equity Index's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Index's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Index's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equity Index Institu

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Index for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Index Institu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Equity Mutual Fund

Equity Index financial ratios help investors to determine whether Equity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Equity with respect to the benefits of owning Equity Index security.
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