Gfg Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.11

GFGSF Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
GFG Resources' future price is the expected price of GFG Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GFG Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GFG Resources Backtesting, GFG Resources Valuation, GFG Resources Correlation, GFG Resources Hype Analysis, GFG Resources Volatility, GFG Resources History as well as GFG Resources Performance.
  
Please specify GFG Resources' target price for which you would like GFG Resources odds to be computed.

GFG Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.11

The tendency of GFG OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.11 
about 49.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GFG Resources to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.89 (This GFG Resources probability density function shows the probability of GFG OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GFG Resources has a beta of -0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GFG Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GFG Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GFG Resources has an alpha of 0.5641, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GFG Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GFG Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GFG Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GFG Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.114.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.094.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.124.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.110.11
Details

GFG Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GFG Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GFG Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GFG Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GFG Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

GFG Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GFG Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GFG Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GFG Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GFG Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
GFG Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (860.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GFG Resources has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (1.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Capital International Investors Expands Stake in Sandstorm Gold Ltd

GFG Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GFG OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GFG Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GFG Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding159.8 M

GFG Resources Technical Analysis

GFG Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GFG OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GFG Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing GFG OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GFG Resources Predictive Forecast Models

GFG Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many GFG Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GFG Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GFG Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about GFG Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GFG Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GFG Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GFG Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
GFG Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (860.16 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GFG Resources has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (1.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Capital International Investors Expands Stake in Sandstorm Gold Ltd

Other Information on Investing in GFG OTC Stock

GFG Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether GFG OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GFG with respect to the benefits of owning GFG Resources security.